Entries by David Littlejohn

A Little Over-Sold

October 7, 2019 /in /by

Markets still appear slightly oversold, even with a big rebound on Thursday and Friday last week. In fact, all three of the major indexes (DJIA, SPX, NASDAQ) have recovered their buy signals. This is a sign that volatility is again on the decline as markets seek to find traction. Most of the underlying technical data […]

Ready Q4

September 30, 2019 /in /by

End of quarter rebalancing may generate some volatility today. Otherwise, markets look like they are staged to continue their sideways oscillation. There is little technically to suggest there is a breakout in either direction. Instead, it seems the all-time highs of the SPX remain resistance, and the 100-day moving average remains as support. The big-picture […]

Oil Grabs the Headlines

September 16, 2019 /in /by

Markets are set to open lower with oil spiking higher. This is after Saudi Arabia had two oil facilities attacked by drones over the weekend. The US blames Iran. Iran claims innocence. Name calling ensues, and things quickly escalated to saber rattling. So, long story short, oil prices are spiking higher as some of Saudi […]

Keep Your Eyes On The Fed

September 9, 2019 /in /by

The SPX may be in a sideways pattern, but the short-term momentum has shifted to the positive. Now all the analysts come out of the woodwork to try and explain why. Here’s the simple thing to do: Watch the Fed. If the news cycle isn’t going to change what they’re doing, odds are, the market […]

Reply Hazy, But Not Really

August 19, 2019 /in /by

Let’s just throw something out there: a recession is on the horizon. That’s not particularly ground-breaking. And it’s not particularly useful. But it is particularly newsworthy. The fact of the matter is, all expansions eventually end in recession. So, unless the expansion continues, a recession is on the horizon. The question is not if there […]

Were Bears Just Invited to Dinner?

August 5, 2019 /in /by

Let’s cut through the fluff and get right to the meat and potatoes of the market – did last week’s sell-off after the Trump Tweet announcing more China tariffs represent the end of the road for the bull market? Too early to call. But judging from the futures markets, the balance has been upset. It […]

Does Downside Risk Outweigh Upside Potential?

July 22, 2019 /in /by

After the S&P 500 managed a weekly close above 3000 the wind seems to be coming out of the sails. Last week finished down, with the lows of the week coming Friday at the close. With more and more companies issuing cautious forward guidance, it seems there may be more downside risk than up-side opportunity […]

Here Comes Earnings Season

July 15, 2019 /in /by

The stage is set for an exciting earnings season. Guidance is one thing, but this is where the rubber to meet the road. Can earnings actually grow from here? Or have we seen peak earnings growth for this economic cycle? It may not matter… yet. The Fed has all but assured markets a rate cut […]